UK Property Market Summary and Predictions for 2023
The UK property market has undoubtedly seen a tumultuous period since the end of 2022.
Fluctuating statistics, record-breaking demand, falling supply, and concerning economic projections have left many scratching their heads and wondering:
‘Is UK property investment in 2023 a good idea?’
The following guide presents a summary of the property market in 2022, as well as a look towards what the future may hold for the rest of the year and beyond.
What Happened to the UK Property Market in 2022?
January
- Property prices, on average, increased by almost 10% from 2021
- Property experts Savills reported that demand for housing was up 49% in mid-January compared to 2018-21.
February
- Despite a slight dip in property prices, the market remained strong, with the highest growth (12.5%) in the East and South West regions
- The rental market also saw growth due to continued demand for rental properties
March
- March saw the strongest monthly house price growth in 18 years at 1.1%
- Low housing supply contributed to skyrocketing prices
- The rental market grew by 10.4%, indicating ongoing demand
April
- Rental growth was widespread across the country, with the highest increase in rental prices since 2011
- Affordability became a concern as house price growth outpaced income growth
May
- A 16% increase in mortgages for first-time buyers compared to pre-pandemic levels
- Some areas experienced significant rental price rises, but overall growth started to slow down
June
- Annual price growth dropped by around 5% from May to June
- Property investment cooled down as the cost-of-living crisis began to make rising house prices unaffordable
- Housing supply still low, but demand decreased as people prioritized other expenses
July
- House price growth rose to one of the highest rates in 2022, most likely due to the lower prices from the stamp duty holiday in 2021
- Rental prices were growing almost six times higher than pre-pandemic levels, with the strongest markets being in the North West
August
- Rising living costs and reduced housing demand contributed to slower growth
- Popular areas like the North West, however, continued to see high rental demand, with the region seeing growth of around 10%
September
- The UK found itself in a complex political situation with the Government’s controversial Mini-Budget, and the death of Queen Elizabeth II
- Rental sector growth remained steady, but borrowing mortgages became more difficult with rising interest rates
October
- The majority of the mini-budget was reversed, following a massive detrimental economic effect
- As the cost-of-living crisis steadily continued, as well as the unstable economy, a cap on house prices was beginning to limit rates
November
- House prices fell by -0.9%, the biggest drop since June 2020
- Market activity decreased, with mortgage approvals returning to pre-pandemic levels
- The end of the Help-to-Buy scheme affected affordability and resulted in falling prices
December
- House prices fell for the fourth consecutive period, down -0.1% from November
- Average rent decreased slightly from November but remained higher than the previous year
Property Market Predictors
Following a lack of demand for expensive property and more buyers preferring affordability, many experts predict a continued drop in prices across many regions, with interest rates rising alongside.
If prices do slip in 2023, though, buyers should write off the property market as a viable option. Recent forecasts show that, despite significant drops in 2023, the market is expected to recover, with certain regions predicted to see price growth of 11.7% by 2027.
View Full Article: UK Property Market Summary and Predictions for 2023
Need a hoover in a hurry? High-tech kiosk lends renters essentials
Renters in two of the capital’s build-to-rent apartment blocks can rent out household appliances, games and other essentials in a novel gadget-sharing initiative.
Developer Get Living has partnered with TULU to install its smart rental units which residents at Victory Plaza and Portlands Place in East Village, Stratford, can access via a mobile app. Available items include Bosch cordless vacuum cleaners and robot mops, game consoles, VR headsets, projectors and air mattresses. They can also buy snacks and food staples.
Inspected regularly
TULU believes it’s a good way of promoting responsible consumption and taps into the growing demand for the ‘usage economy’, in which people access products only for the time they are needed rather than owning them, supporting sustainable living. The products on offer are tailored to the needs of the residents and inspected regularly by TULU to make sure they are clean and in good condition.
Growing demand
Ailish Christian-West, chief operating officer at Get Living, says: “We regularly speak to our residents to understand how we can enhance their living experience with us and initiatives such as TULU are a direct response to those conversations. We know that there is growing demand for subscriptions and rentals rather than purchases, whether it’s music, films, or household items, allowing people to live more flexibly, consume less and reduce their outgoing expenditure.”
Get Living has 4,000 homes for rent in London and Manchester and plans to grow its portfolio to 12,500 homes within the next five years.
View Full Article: Need a hoover in a hurry? High-tech kiosk lends renters essentials
Government targets cities and relaxes planning in bid to solve housing crisis
A new housing plan would allow shops, takeaways and betting shops to be turned into homes while homeowners would have greater freedoms to carry out property extensions and open up lofts.
Housing Secretary Michael Gove says under the proposals, the government’s main focus will be on housing developments in the UK’s major cities where demand is highest and growth is being constrained as it bids to unblock the planning system and build more homes in the right places where there is local consent. The plan also includes regenerating 20 towns and cities across England.
New homes
He wants to unleash a wave of new homes in Birmingham, Manchester and Liverpool, using development corporations which councils would bid to set up. Those government-sponsored bodies would then use compulsory purchase orders to buy up land and sell chunks on to developers to build new homes. A new ‘planning super-squad’ called the Action Taskforce for Land Assembly Sites would review permitted development rights and support development in these big sites.
When asked about how it would prevent investors from buying up all the new housing, Gove said: “We need a healthy rental sector. We have taken steps to ensure that it’s more expensive to acquire a second property than a first property – but there’s more that we can do and more will follow.”
Negative impact
Shaun Davies, chair of the Local Government Association, believes premises such as offices, barns, and shops are not always suitable for housing. He adds: “Further expanding permitted development rights risks creating poor quality residential environments that negatively impact people’s health and wellbeing, as well as a lack of affordable housing or suitable infrastructure.”
The proposals come as Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced it would meet its manifesto commitment to build one million homes over this Parliament. However, last year the cross-party Levelling Up Committee found that the government was not on target to deliver 300,000 new homes a year by the mid-2020s.
View Full Article: Government targets cities and relaxes planning in bid to solve housing crisis
Cashback on BTL and Residential Mortgage Product Switches
Are you one of the 1.8 million property owners who have a fixed rate on their mortgage ending in 2024? If so, I hope you will find the following information useful.
Over the last 15 years, we have been spoilt by historically low-interest rates and have all enjoyed low mortgage repayments on our homes as well as our buy-to-let properties.
View Full Article: Cashback on BTL and Residential Mortgage Product Switches
Government pledges to meet its 1 million new homes plan
The Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has revealed that the Government will meet its manifesto pledge to build 1 million new homes in this Parliament.
Since 2010, the Government says that more than 2.2 million new homes have been built and millions of people have moved into home ownership.
View Full Article: Government pledges to meet its 1 million new homes plan
Gove calls for EPC deadline reprieve to give landlords a break
Housing Minister Michael Gove has suggested a delay in bringing in energy efficiency plans for the private renter sector.
Citing financial pressures on landlords, he told The Telegraph that the government should relax the pace of changes to EPC targets which is expected to see them forced to obtain a C grade for their properties by 2028. This could include spending thousands on fitting a heat pump, insulation or solar panels, with a national cap of £10,000.
Relax pace
“My own strong view is that we’re asking too much too quickly,” said Gove. “We do want to move towards greater energy efficiency, but just at this point, when landlords face so much, I think that we should relax the pace that’s been set for people in the private rented sector, particularly because many of them are currently facing a big capital outlay in order to improve that efficiency.”
Ben Beadle, NRLA chief executive, says it is more than two years since the government completed its consultation on energy efficiency standards in rented homes. “As a result of the delay in responding to this, there was never any hope of meeting the originally proposed deadlines, as we told the Minister earlier this month,” he adds.
Needs certainty
“The NRLA wants to see properties as energy efficient as possible, but the sector needs certainty about how and when this will happen. Ministers need to develop a proper plan that includes a fair financial package to support improvements in the private rented sector. We will continue to work with all parties to develop pragmatic and workable proposals.”
In June, Energy Minister Andrew Bowie admitted that landlords would have to wait many more months to find out the details of government proposals to raise the minimum Energy Performance Certificate for rented properties.
View Full Article: Gove calls for EPC deadline reprieve to give landlords a break
House prices to drop by ‘double digits’ in a prolonged slump
Economists have sounded the alarm over the future of UK house prices by forecasting a significant decline of 12% by the end of next year.
The predictions come amidst growing concerns that the housing market will fail to bounce back from the impending downturn
View Full Article: House prices to drop by ‘double digits’ in a prolonged slump
Landlord with OBE to pay £300,000 fine over ‘appalling conditions’ at properties
A veteran landlord with an OBE has been handed a whopping £300,000 fine after two decades of managing illegally converted houses.
Nirpaul Riat was given one of the largest ever fines in Hounslow for managing 22 properties where vulnerable tenants lived in appalling conditions.
Isleworth Crown Court heard that Riat also illegally converted a property into eight flats and rented an outbuilding in Osterley where the squalid conditions included damp, cramped rooms with limited natural light, a lack of hot water and heating that only working irregularly.
Previous fine
Riat was previously fined £20,000 in 2009 for illegally converting a property in Hanworth into flats, refusing to reinstate it as a single house or to stop using a static caravan as a separate home to rent out.
Riat now faces being sent to prison if he does not pay the new fine.
Hounslow Council says the rogue landlord treated his tenants as nothing more than a commodity – exploiting residents in need of housing for his own financial gain.
Rogue landlords
Councillor Tom Bruce (pictured), cabinet member for regeneration and development, adds: “While these residents were left to languish in these appalling conditions, Nirapaul grew rich at their expense.
“I hope today’s verdict sends a message that we do not – under any circumstances – tolerate rogue landlords in Hounslow and will use the full force of the law to prosecute them.”
Riat was awarded an OBE in 2011 for services to charity after he raised nearly £50,000 for air ambulance services, Thames Valley Crime Stoppers and Great Ormond Street Hospital.
View Full Article: Landlord with OBE to pay £300,000 fine over ‘appalling conditions’ at properties
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